Why railway transport matters to sustainability goals
Posted: 11 April 2014 | Libor Lochman, Executive Director, CER and Global Railway Review Editorial Board Member / Edward Hunter Christie, Chief Economist, CER / Ethem Pekin, Environment Economist, CER | No comments yet
Transport poses two major sustainability challenges: greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) and dependence on imported oil. Railway transportation has very favourable characteristics on both counts, making modal shift in favour of rail a naturally attractive policy goal.
Europe’s transport system has so far failed to keep up with the other main sectors of the economy in terms of decarbonisation. The EU’s total GHG emissions were roughly 18% lower in 2011 compared to 1990, a positive development in line with the EU’s 20% reduction target by 2020. The total level of GHG emissions fell by 34% in manufacturing and construction1, by 23% in agriculture and by 16% in the energy industry between 1990 and 2011. On the other hand, emissions from transport were 19% higher in 2011 compared to 1990. As a result, transport now accounts for 20% of total emissions as opposed to just 14% in 1990. Transport emissions are fast becoming a significant obstacle to Europe’s climate policy goals.
It cannot be the case that most sectors and industries continue to make major contributions to decarbonisation while transport contributes negatively to the overall effort. A major re-orientation of the transport system is therefore essential if long-term carbon reduction targets are to be achieved. After much hesitation, an emissions reduction target was finally defined for the transport sector in the European Comm – ission’s 2011 Transport White Paper, committing the EU to achieving a reduction of 60% of total GHG emissions in transport compared to the 1990 level by 2050.
Railway transport’s performance in terms of GHG emissions is well-documented. Average specific emissions per passenger-kilometre, respectively per tonne-kilometre for freight, are substantially lower in rail transport as compared to road transport.
The performance ratios are very clear. Emissions per passenger-kilometre are roughly three times lower for electric rail transport as compared to road. For freight, emissions per tonne-kilometre are roughly four times lower for electric rail transport as compared to road. Furthermore, the relative performance improvement has been stronger in rail: from 1996 to 2011, specific emissions for passenger transport decreased by 26% in rail as compared to just 7% in road, and by 44% as compared to 18% for freight transport. In sum, rail’s performance relative to road is substantial and efforts from within the sector are on the right track.
Transportation also remains overwhelmingly dependent on oil. With an import dependence ratio of around 90%, the European Union is particularly vulnerable to oil supply shocks, be it with respect to quantity or price. This translates into a macroeconomic vulnerability as well. In 2012, the EU’s net oil import bill reached a new historic record of €304 billion. This regular haemorrhaging of resources to the outside world amounted to 2.3% of the Union’s total GDP in 2012 as compared to 1.5% in 2005.
The transport sector accounts for around three quarters of the EU’s final consumption of oil and oil products today (up from 62% in 1990). Road transport alone is responsible for 64% of final consumption (up from 53% in 1990), whereas the share of rail is just 0.6% (down from 0.9% in 1990). In sum, road transport constitutes Europe’s dominant vulnerability with respect to oil price shocks and this situation has worsened while rail’s very positive performance has improved.
Rail transport experienced a considerable growth in the use of renewable energy. Thanks to a very high share of electrification, much of rail may thus become increasingly both zero carbon and renewables-based. Other transport modes have much more limited possibilities in this regard. European railways are continuing to increase their energy mix in favour of renewables. If the trends of past years continue, the European railway sector will reach 35% of renewables in 2020.
Estimates of total external costs
Transport users generally do not pay for external costs arising from environmental impacts and accidents. European policy makers are interested in the monetisation (pricing) of external costs so as to be able to internalise them (include the external costs into the price of transport). The internalisation of external costs is de facto the centrepiece of the European Commission’s efforts in making external costs part of the decision-making process of transport users. This has been referred to in a number of vital policy documents including the Greening Transport Package from 2008 and the 2011 EU White Paper on Transport.
€500 billion are due to the total external costs (excluding congestion) of transport in the EU plus Norway and Switzerland in 2008. This corresponds to 4% of the EU’s GDP. Road transport constitutes 93% of total external costs. This is mainly due to the large modal share of the road sector and its higher average external cost per passenger-km or tonne-km. Rail transport on the other hand is responsible for less than 2% of total external costs.
With such a strong profile rail clearly has a role to play in alleviating both the GHG emissions challenge and the oil dependence challenge in transport, with the added benefits of lower local air pollution and a better safety performance.
From the viewpoint of economic policy, the central principle that should apply is the internalisation of external costs, i.e. the fact of pricing in external costs so that final prices reflect external costs in line with the ‘polluter pays principle’.
The recent trajectory of EU policy on this issue has led to a split between local externalities, to be handled in the context of transport infrastructure pricing, and the global externality of climate change, for which a solution has yet to be formulated.
A recent report2 of the Commission examined the existing pricing instruments. Most Member States apply charges for Heavy Goods Vehicles following the rules that are envisaged according to Directive 2011/76/EU (the ‘Eurovignette Directive’). A significant number of Member States apply time-based vignettes, which hinders the relationship between what is paid and the infrastructure and external costs that are actually caused. Furthermore, passenger cars often pay no charges at all. For the majority of road network hardly any infrastructure charging exists. Unlike in road transport, usage-based infrastructure charges are common in rail transport. Following the rules set out in Directive 2012/34/EU, all railway networks in the EU apply charging based on the principle of the cost directly incurred.
EU legislation sets binding CO2 targets for new cars and van fleets. The Commission also directs extensive efforts to replace fossil fuel driven vehicles with alternative fuels. Over time this will help to reduce average emissions but one has to acknowledge that cars with older emission standards will remain on the European road network during the phase-out periods. Even with the new emission standards, the European GHG reduction targets can only be realised with the introduction of usage-based infrastructure charging. Furthermore due to the preference currently given by politicians to these regulatory mitigation policies, the internalisation of external costs has taken the back seat although it is widely accepted among experts to be the most effective and most fair policy approach. A revitalisation of the concept of internalisation of external costs is therefore needed.
Actions that need to be taken
On 22 January 2014, the European Commission unveiled its 2030 Framework for Climate and Energy Policies. The main pillars of the new Framework include: a reduction in GHG emissions by 40% below the 1990 level; an EU-level binding target for renewable energy of at least 27%; and energy efficiency policies. What is missing so far from the new Framework is a principled and binding inclusion of transport, so that the GHG emissions goal for 2030 is actually met. As for road pricing, proposals to switch to distance-based charging and to a systematic policy of internalisation of local external costs need to be adopted by the European Commission.
Transport has been the only major sector of the economy to contribute negatively so far to the EU’s decarbonisation and energy security needs. Within that context, rail can play a constructive role through a policy of modal shift.
- All the data used in this article is from Eurostat unless otherwise indicated.
- SWD (2013) 269 final.